While drought conditions have worsened across parts of southern and western New South Wales, producers in the Northern Tablelands are continuing to benefit from strong seasonal conditions and a positive production outlook.
The latest NSW Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development (DPIRD) report shows that while large areas of the state remain in, or have recently transitioned to, the ‘Drought Affected’ category, the Northern Tablelands has avoided these conditions, remaining firmly in the ‘Non-Drought’ category throughout July.
Rainfall across the Northern Tablelands during July was well above average, which has helped establish winter crops and promote growth. This has contributed to continued optimism for winter cropping and forage production across the region. According to the DPIRD, plant greenness levels – measured using the Normalised Difference Vegetation Index – are above average for most of the region from May to July.
The production outlook into spring remains positive, with timely rainfall and good crop establishment reinforcing confidence among local producers. Forecasts suggest the region is likely to remain out of drought through to the end of October 2025, with moderate to high confidence in model projections.
Statewide, the picture is more mixed. Drought conditions have expanded in southern and western NSW, with the outlook for recovery dependent on follow-up rainfall to replenish soil moisture and support pasture growth as warmer temperatures return in late winter and spring.
Despite this, the production outlook remains strong for northern winter cropping areas, with crops accessing stored soil moisture. Southern growers are also cautiously optimistic after early crop establishment, though conditions vary significantly between districts.
For more detailed seasonal information by region, visit the DPIRD’s Monthly Regional Breakdown:
https://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/climate_applications/state-seasonal-update/monthly-regional-breakdown
